Kuwait is becoming one of the hottest countries on the planet and faces profound social and ecological challenges from continued global warming and the global transition away from fossil fuels. The government has pledged to reach net-zero emissions in the oil and gas sector by 2050 and by 2060 for the whole country.
At present, oil accounts for 90 % of the national revenue and more than half of GDP and renewable energy for less than 1 % of demand. Kuwait thus needs clever and comprehensive solutions. With abundant wind and solar resources, the potential is at hand.
Energy Modelling Lab supports steps to reach net-zero emissions in Kuwait by 2060. We are developing an energy modelling framework that allows us to identify the least-cost and most feasible green energy systems. Based on these results we are able to designate pathways to integrate the new solutions across five key-sectors: Energy, Industry, Agriculture, Land-Use, and Waste.
Energy Modelling Lab develops a database for energy and GHG emissions, build consensus on ambitions and shortlist decarbonization options.
We develop an energy model featuring different scenarios including rapid expansion of renewable fuel market and reduced exports.
Analysing the different scenarios allows for informed decision making on the optimal solutions integrated across sectors.
Socioeconomic and environmental impacts and co-benefits such as improved health are identified and considered.
Results are presented in a website format with open access and all key results shared in excel sheets.
Users can move between scenarios and study results like emissions and energy consumption by sector and costs.
Jordan is considered to be among the world’s most vulnerable to drought as a result of climate change. Major challenges are aridity, water scarcity, heavy reliance on fossil energy imports and rapid growth in population and urbanization.
The government is now addressing the need for a transition to a greener and more resilient economy. One important step is developing a National Long Term Low Emission Strategy and Options Report 2050.
Energy Modelling Lab is contributing to develop a low emission strategy in Jordan. We are creating a central modelling framework representing eight key sectors and their interconnections. By embedding baseline scenarios, we can estimate the impact of different options for decarbonization. We then create a shortlist of the least cost and most feasible options and are able to designate the optimal pathways.
MODELLING Energy Modelling Lab shortlists decarbonization options, identifies cross-sector synergies and develops an integrated model.
The model includes a full investment catalogue for the entire energy sector and shows the economically optimal pathways through the jungle of technological solutions.
SCENARIO ANALYSIS Through a series of scenarios, we can investigate the consequences of different climate scenarios and consider prioritized mitigation actions.
We also identify and consider socioeconomic and environmental impacts and co-benefits such as improved health and energy savings.
REPORT The final report proposes optimal decarbonization pathways and provides policy recommendations that are validated through workshops with key stake holders.
The Jordanian Government will have a solid basis for a continuously informed decision process as we will build up local partner capacity to use and update the model.
The biogas module contains both existing and new plants
The model can now utilize the 89 existing biogas plants in Denmark, and it can choose to invest in new biogas plants, when searching for solutions to cover our future energy demand.
Each plant can take classic biomasses such as manure or straw as input and generates both biogas and a fiber fraction, which can be utilized in for example pyrolysis processes. But the model is also ready to use new types of biomass like seaweed in future biogas plants.
Restrictions and regulation
A couple restrictions have been added to the biogas plants. In this way the model results become more realistic:
A maximum dry matter content for each biogas plant.
The possibilities for sustainable heating and cooling are many, but where is central heating the best option? And what local heat sources are available in different areas? These are some of the questions we are going to help answer in Dublin.
A cool collaboration
Energy Modelling Lab has joined the TEN21 project. Here we are going to help cities all over Europe deliver climate friendly thermal energy.
TEN21 consists of a strong team. Firstly energy modelers build a digital version of the heat system. Thereafter we use the model output to create net zero scenarios. Finally investment experts step in to ensure the plans can become reality. This ensures the entire development path from early planning to financing the implementation.
Sewage as part of the future heating and cooling?
If you want to learn more about recycling heat from for example sewage, metros, and datacenters, then go to TEN21.eu.
MODELLING DUBLIN We develop an optimization model within the TIMES-framework.
First and foremost covers the heat and power sector in Dublin. But this model has an especially high level of detail.
NEUTRAL SCENARIOS Energy Modelling Lab is developing a series of CO2-neutral scenarios for cooling and heating in Dublin.
In this way we can find the perfect fit for each district.
The project Nordic Clean Energy Scenarios aims at identifying technological solutions to a fully carbon neutral Nordic region. It further aims at developing energy scenarios for the Nordic energy sector enabling the Nordic commitment to reach carbon neutrality.
Collaborating on finding the right solutions
NCES2020 brings together nine teams from four Nordic countries, with complementing modelling and analytical skills. Combined with use of open access energy system models and data, this strengthens Nordic cooperation and expertise in energy modelling.