EML activities in the IEA ETSAP community
Time frame: Late 2019 to spring 2021
EML: Energy Modelling Lab ApS – energymodellinglab.com
IEA (International Energy Agency) Technology Collaboration Programme ETSAP (Energy Technology Systems Analysis Program) – iea-etsap.org
EML is an active member of the ETSAP community. EML has and continues to contribute to the ETSAP community in 2020 and 2021. We continue the Danish collaboration and participation at the IEA-ETSAP, Annex X to XIV under the new Annex XV. Our partners and consultants are actively developing TIMES models in several projects, regularly attend ETSAP’s biannual workshops and webinars, took VEDA-TIMES training, were and will continue teaching energy systems analysis courses at the post-graduate level by deploying the TIMES framework, develop auxiliary tools to improve pre-and post-processing tasks and successfully migrated from VEDA1 to VEDA2 during ongoing projects.
Projects
| Title | Model | Period | Partners | Description | Website |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCES2020 Nordic Clean Energy Scenarios 2020 | ON-TIMES | 2020 – 2021 | Energiforsk, NMBU, EA, VTT, IVL | The work builds on the NETP projects by complementing the cost-effective pathways with a deeper analysis of uncertainty and alternative socio-technical framework conditions. This includes policy, technology shifts, economic outlook, developments in other countries and other societal changes that have an impact on the Nordic region – DK, FI ,IS ,NO and SE. | nces2020.tokni.com – under construction! |
| UEOR2021 Energy Outlook Report for Ukrain | TIMES-UA | 2019 – 2021 | UEDC, MoE, DEA, EA | This project develops an independent study of the Ukrainian energy system, which analyses development scenarios for input to national energy strategy documents and provides policy recommendations to achieve national energy and climate goals. Furthermore, the modelling results of this project can also be used to contribute to the National Energy and Climate Change Plan for the period 2021-2030 (NECP). | timesukraine.tokni.com |
| VEOR2021 Vietnam Energy Outlook Report 2021 | TIMES-Vietnam | 2021 – 2021 | EREA, DEA | The objective of the project is that Vietnam’s energy system becomes more sustainable through the implementation of cost-optimized policy and planning by assisting MOIT and EREA to commission, develop, and analyze comprehensive long-term energy scenarios. | |
| LTES-AZ Long-term Energy Strategy for Azerbaijan | TIMES-AZ (to be dev.) | 2021 – 2022 | MoE, EQUINOCCIO, Ramboll, NIRAS | This technical assistance tackles the needs of Azerbaijan to review and update the Long-Term Energy Strategy (LTES) in light of the recent situation in AZ. Another important focus in this technical assistance is to build up capacity in Azerbaijan to continue the work with LTES and in general to work with energy system analysis as a method for planning future investments and points of focus. |
Meetings
Biannual workshops
The biannual workshops focus on the practice of modelling and use of ETSAP tools e.g. MARKAL/TIMES modelling frameworks, participation in training activities, and collaboration in projects related to the improvement of ETSAP tools. In general, the contribution to these workshops shall be based on current and future projects, particularly within EU, Nordic, and Danish research programs – by involving PhD students from Danish universities.
Our director and partners participated in several IEA-ETSAP semi-annual meetings over the last years:
- 2019-12-09/13: 76th Semi-annual ETSAP meeting, Newcastle (AU)
- Kenneth co-organized the meeting, together with Luke Reedman from CSIRO
- Kenneth chaired session 5 on research projects and gave a presentation about The SHIFT Nordic TIMES model project
- 2020-07-02/03: Summer 2020 – 77th Semi-annual ETSAP meeting, online
- Mikkel gave a presentation during session 3 on the topic The cost of green transition is nothing compared to our health and environmental costs
- 2020-12-16/17: Winter 2020 – 78th Semi-annual ETSAP meeting, online (see also here: 78th SEMI ANNUAL IEW ETSAP MEETING)
- 2021-06-17/18: Next workshop, register here
For all past and coming workshops please see here.
Webinars
Members of EML attended several ETSAP webinars:
- 2020-11-26: How to build a TIMES model from scratch
- 2020-12-10: Modelling clean energy transitions: approaches and tools for the World Energy Outlook and the Energy Technology Perspectives
- 2021-01-21: Developing and using TIMES models with git, GitHub, and VEDA
- 2021-02-23: ETSAP webinar: High temporal and spatial resolution modelling in TIMES models
- 2021-03-30: Stochastic Modelling of VRES in TIMES and Modelling high VRES with hourly TS resolution, unit commitment, dispatch, and capacity expansion in TIMES
Training
Ida participated in the 3 day ETSAP VEDA-Times web training.
- 2020-12-09 to 2020-12-11: Basic Training Course on VEDA-TIMES, Web Training by Maurizio Gargiulo from E4SMA
For future training please see here.
Teaching
EML is teaching energy system modelling on the basis of the TIMES modelling framework. In the current term, Mikkel and Kenneth are offering the course TIMES-DK modelling to graduate students at SDU. The duration is approx. 20 weeks from February to June 2021.
Background
The students are given insights into the TIMES modelling framework and will deploy the Danish model TIMES-DK to assess the Danish energy systems within the scope of their assignments.
Objectives
The course aims to provide the students with knowledge and abilities to work in the TIMES framework, which includes but is not limited to the following topics:
- Sector coupling of the full energy system
- Time aspect in the making of energy system assessment
- Resource barriers such as bioenergy, wind, solar, and fossil potentials
- Carbon budgets and national GHG targets
Method
Weekly lectures combined with practical assignments and project work in groups. The results of case works are an integrated part of the teaching and will be presented and evaluated during the course.
Auxilliary tools
At EML we develop several auxiliary tools. Currently, we are working on two tools, one to include biomass potentials for energy use in our analysis and the other to seamlessly aggregate and transmit data from a VEDA batch export Excel file to our websites hosted by Tokni:
VEDA migration
Within the Nordic Clean Energy Scenarios (NCES2020) project EML migrated the development of the open-source Nordic TIMES model (ON-TIMES) from VEDA1 to VEDA2. It includes all of the 5 Nordic countries, i.e. Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden and serves the purpose of informing decision-makers and supporting the common Nordic commitment to carbon neutrality through strong, collaborative Nordic research and analysis.