We supported Denmark’s Climate Targets 2050, a report published by the Danish Climate Council in August 2024 that analyses four scenarios for the future of the Danish energy and land use system. The scenarios were generated using DK-BioRes, a model Energy Modelling Lab originally developed in 2021 as a project for the Danish Energy Agency.
We updated the model, integrated new technologies, and built up the capacity of the Council’s own experts to run the analysis themselves.
The report sets out pathways towards a climate target of 110 percent reduction in emissions from agriculture, forestry and land use, comparing two contrasting strategies for reaching it. Each strategy illustrates a different set of choices and trade-offs, so the analysis shows the scale of the task the transition represents rather than pointing to a single preferred route.
DK-BioRes represents the whole of Denmark’s land area, split into agriculture, forest, wetlands and built-up land, and calculates results in physical units such as tonnes and PJ rather than financial terms.
The model tests different options for producing biological resources and for cutting greenhouse gas emissions from land, forests and agriculture, letting the Council compare choices on a consistent basis across the four scenarios.
The report and its two background notes, covering the scenarios, models and assumptions and the DK-BioRes methodology, feed directly into the Danish Climate Council’s advice to government on the 2050 target.
Client: Danish Climate Council (Klimarådet)
Reference: Not stated on the existing page
Collaborators: Not stated on the existing page
EML team: Ida Græsted Jensen, Kenneth Karlsson
Budget: Not stated on the existing page
Duration: Report published August 2024
Model: DK-BioRes