- DK-BioRes: A model for the Danish bioenergy resource
The project shall provide a quantitative overview of the current Danish technical bioenergy resource. Through a modelling approach the project will provide a foundation for assessments on future resources towards the national goals in 2030 and 2050. Aside from the bioenergy potential, the model will provide an estimate on the resulting GHG-emissions/absorptions from agriculture, forestry, aquaculture, and nature.
The model output will support the TIMES-DK model used by the Danish Energy Agency by providing bioenergy resource potentials available to the energy system.
Implementation date: 1 October – June 2021.
Scope of delivery: reports, scenario, and modelling development.
Contact person, EML: Ida Græsted Jensen
Contact for order: Bodil Harder, Danish Energy Agency.
- EUDP ETSAP
The project shall continue the Danish collaboration and participation at the IEA-ETSAP (Energy Technology Systems Analysis Programme, www.iea-etsap.org), Annex X to XIV under the new Annex XV. The main activity will be the participation at the biannual workshops, that focus on the practice of modelling and use of ETSAP tools e.g. MARKAL/TIMES modelling frameworks, participation in training activities and collaboration in projects related to the improvement of ETSAP tools
The contribution to these workshops shall be based on current and future projects, particular within EU, Nordic and Danish research programs – by involving PhD students from Danish universities.
Implementation date: 1 June 2021 – June 2023.
Scope of delivery and its price: Workshops and representing demand in ETSAP community
Contact for order: EUDP
- Framework contracts, Global Cooperation, Danish Energy Agency
Energy Modelling Lab is a subcontractor for the framework contracts with Global Cooperation in the Danish Energy Agency. Energy Modelling Lab is contributing with TIMES model development and scenario definitions. So far the work has included model development in:
- Ukraine: Development of the Energy Outlook Reports for Ukraine
- Vietnam: Preparation and development of the Energy Outlook Reports for Vietnam
Implementation date: July 2020 – June 2023
Scope of delivery: workshops, training, model development, scenario definition, modelling results, and reports.
- Support to the Government of Azerbaijan in development and implementation of long-term energy strategy for economic diversification
The main subject of EML within the project is the construction of a TIMES model for Azerbaijan to be used forward for long term energy system and climate policy planning. Furthermore, EML will support Azerbaijan with training and teaching in the use of working with an energy system model such as TIMES.
Implementation date: 1 November 2020 – November 2021
Scope of delivery: 2 workshops/training sessions, supporting materials, energy system model development and report.
Contact person, EML: Kenneth Karlsson
Contact person for order: Jamie Muñoz, Equinoccio
- TIMES modelling of CO2 streams for storage and utilisation in PtX facilities
The project was investigating the knowledge on costs, potentials and limitations on processes and technologies delivering negative CO2 emissions and how GHG neutrality could be achieved in a long-term perspective. And, constructing TIMES modelling tools for analysing long term energy strategies and the demand for negative CO2 opportunities. PtX and biofuel facilities were significantly improved in the TIMES model to accommodate the competition between producing renewable fuels and the demand for negative emissions allowing the model for endogenous optimisation of final negative CO2 demands.
Implementation date: 2020
Scope of delivery: report and energy modelling development on CO2 streams and PtX.
Contact for order: Confidential
- The green transition can reduce health cost from air pollution – Danish study
- KAOS – Klimaambitioner om samfundet (climate ambitions for the society)
Today several gymnasium students have needs not meet as they differ from the normal classes, while teachers have a limited resource to provide various study plans. We are developing a platform for teachers easy to use and implement within the classes Mathematics, Social science, Geography and Physics. A platform focusing on climate change and energy system modelling and providing the students with challenging task as LCOE calculations, understanding within Energy systems and planning, Carbon budgets and more.
Implementation date: 1 June 2021 – April 2021.
Scope of delivery and its price: Web platform and teaching material in energy system assessments for high school students https://kaos.world/
Contact for order: Børne- og Undervisningsministeriet.
- NCES2020: Nordic Clean Energy Scenarios
The project Nordic Clean Energy Scenarios aims at identifying technological solutions to a carbon neutral Nordic region. It further aims at developing energy scenarios for the Nordic energy sector enabling the Nordic commitment to reach carbon neutrality.
NCES2020 brings together nine teams from four Nordic countries, with complementing modelling and analytical skills. Combined with use of open access energy system models and data, this strengthens Nordic cooperation and expertise in energy modelling. The ambition is to avoid the modelling exercise becoming a black box that is only accessible for a small group of peers to assess progress in the Nordic countries towards national goals. The resulting OpeN source TIMES model (ONTIMES) has been developed and used for analysing greenhouse gas (GHG) pathways for the Nordic GHG reduction targets.
Implementation date: March 2020 – April 2021.
Scope of delivery: reports, policy briefs, workshops and an energy modelling development https://www.nordicenergy.org/article/nordic-clean-energy-scenarios/
Contact person, EML: Kenneth Karlsson
- TIMES flexible time slice aggregation tool
Model and data development for the Danish Energy Agency. A flexible time slice aggregation tool has been designed for the TIMES-DK energy system model.
Implementation date: November 2019 – March 2020.
Scope of delivery: energy modelling development.
Contact person, EML: Kenneth Karlsson
Contact for order: Danish Energy Agency.
Notable projects made on behalf of DTU with Energy Modelling Lab employees in central roles
- COMETS – Co-Management of Energy and Transport Systems
The transport sector constitutes appr. 35% of the Danish final energy consumption and CO2 emissions. It also constitutes the most difficult sector to convert to renewable energy. COMETS is to develop a decision tool for identifying and optimizing policies and investments within an integrated energy system framework incorporating the transportation sector, supporting Denmark’s 2050 goal of becoming independent of fossil fuels. With the transport sector being powered by an increasing share of renewable fuels, it will become increasingly integrated into the energy system: biofuels, hydrogen, electricity, and other alternative fuels have production chains with strong linkages to the broader energy system. Some of the fuels can function as energy storage adding flexibility in the production of electricity and heat, and excess heat from the production of the fuels can be used for district heating or industrial processes. Current energy system models cannot fully handle interactions between the energy and the transport systems, limiting their ability to model changes that affect both systems, e.g., modal shifts in transportation, transportation time optimization, and the influence of transport infrastructure investments on the energy system. This project will develop soft-links between a newly developed behavior-based transport model and an integrated energy system model for Denmark. The combined modeling system will then be used to analyze different policy scenarios for energy and transportation with a participatory approach involving relevant stakeholders.
Implementation date: January 2015 – June 2019, Kenneth Karlsson and Mikkel Bosack Simonsen participated in the project on behalf of DTU
Scope of delivery: reports, policy briefs, journal articles and workshops.
Contact person for order: Klaus Resenfeldt Jakobsen, Innovationsfonden. Tel: +45 6190 5041.
- REEEM: Role of technologies in an Energy Efficient Economy – Model-based analysis of policy measures and transformation pathways to a sustainable energy system
REEEM aims to gain a clear and comprehensive understanding of the system-wide implications of energy strategies in support of transitions to a competitive low-carbon EU energy society, given the objectives and framework outlined in the Strategic Energy Technology Plan.
The provisions of the energy services in this society will be defined by their sustainability, affordability, efficiency, energy security and reliability. The supportive technology impact assessments will target the full integration from demand to supply and from the individual to the entire system. It will further address the trade-offs across society, environment and economy along the whole transition pathway. A focus on behavioural aspects and on technology research, development and innovation will be included. The strong integration of stakeholder involvement in the whole process of energy system development will be addressed as a main aspect of the proposal.
In support of this overall aim, this project is developed to address four main objectives: (1) to develop an integrated assessment framework, (2) to define pathways towards a low-carbon society and assess their potential implications, (3) to bridge the sciencepolicy gap through a clear communication using decision support tools and (4) to ensure transparency in the process.
Implementation date: February 2016 – July 2019. Mikkel Bosack Simonsen and Kenneth Karlsson participated in the project on behalf of DTU.
Scope of delivery and its price: reports, policy briefs, workshops and an energy modelling conference (EMP-E).
Contact for order: European Commission, Project Officer Manuela Conconi.
- Shift – Sustainable Horizons in Future Transport
Nordic flagship project funded by Nordic Energy Research as one of their cooperative energy research projects for the period 2015-2019. The Shift project investigates smarter Nordic transport and energy policy by developing and applying transport tools. These tools integrate fuel options, modal shifts, business models and consumer behaviour into scenario modelling and, thereby, provide in-depth analysis covering urban passenger transport, long-haul freight and city logistics. Besides strengthening Nordic energy systems modelling and providing updated scenario analysis for the Nordic transport sector, Shift examined linkages between technological and organisational innovations that can decarbonise the road transport system. In addition, Shift assessed drivers, barriers and effects of transport modal shifts and analyses effective design of transport related policy instruments. Shift included assessments on the Nordic level as well as policy relevant local Nordic case studies highlighting opportunities and challenges for the transition of the transport sector. Shift was led by IVL Swedish Environmental Research (Julia Hansson).
Implementation date: 2015-09-01 to 2019-10-31. Kenneth Karlsson and Mikkel Bosack Simonsen participated in the project on behalf of DTU
Scope of delivery: The Shift project resulted in a final summary report, 10 policy briefs, 5 videos, at least 15 peer-reviewed publications and a large amount of non-peer-reviewed publications (>20), events, presentations and media outreach. See: https://www.nordicenergy.org/flagship/project-shift/, https://www.nordicenergy.org/wp- content/uploads/2019/10/Summary-and-briefs.pdf, and https://shift.tokni.com/